David Berson, USA Today’s Economist of the Year, at PMI has released his latest research piece on the national housing market. Here are some key snippets and how they relate to Maui real estate.
Our models indicate that the decline in house prices is only about one-third to one-half over, due primarily to the magnitude of the supply/demand imbalance in the housing market. This assumes that the current neconomic downturn is both short and modest, and that the disarray in financial markets ends soon…The key reason for these national price declines is the worsening of the supply/demand imbalance in the housing market. The average price of a house, as with all goods and services, ultimately depends on demand and supply…
While none of this necessarily applies to Maui real estate specifically, it does impact the mindset of buyers who are considering buying. Let’s find some detailed data now.
Berson projects the percentage likelihood that following markets will see lower housing prices in two years.
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